College Hoops March Madness 
(NCAA Tournament) system:

NOTE: THIS IS THE 2009 page for this system. 
We may have modified this system for 2010.
To access the 2010 page, click HERE.

1)     TYPE:

The CBB March Madness system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system. To explain further, we have two different types of flat systems: PURE Flat and WEIGHTED Flat. Pure Flat systems are 1.00 units on EVERY PLAY. Weighted Flat systems vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units based on the historical data of the group (by Money Line Range, Home/Away - or in the case of this system, by ROUND - i.e. First round, Second round, Sweet 16, Elite 8, Final Four, and Finals). We also have PROGRESSIVE systems that vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units as well. However the difference between Weighted Flat and PROGRESSIVE systems is that PRECEDING results (prior week, prior day, etc) have no impact on the upcoming plays. So there is no build factor or due factor, as there is with Progressive systems. That is why it is still a flat. The advantage of the Weighted Flat system is that we don't miss out on many dog wins, because we are on most - if not all of them - it's just a matter of to what extent. This disadvantage of weighted flat systems is since the higher unit plays are based on 7-year historical data - in the case of an off year or bad luck year - there can be more downside risk if the high unit groups don't perform well. More info on the different types of systems can be found in our FAQ's section.

2)     UNITS:  

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other services/systems release plays and to make it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above the CBB March Madness system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, so your wager amounts will vary depending on the unit rating of the play. Here are some sample dollar amounts relative to the units:

Units     ($) options

0.20     $20       $100     $200     (1/5 your standard wager)

0.50     $50       $250     $500     (1/2 standard)

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> your standard wager

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000   2x standard

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000   3x standard  

5.00     $500     $2500   $5000   5x standard

3)     UPDATE TIMES:

Right now this system includes the 65-team NCAA Tournament (a.k.a. the 'Big Dance') only. In future seasons we will be adding plays or systems for the NIT and CBI, as we accumulate more historical data for those tournaments. So here is the schedule of updates for this system:

  • Tuesday, 3/17 (Play-In game): 6 PM ET

  • Thursday, 3/19: 11 AM & 6 PM ET

  • Friday, 3/20: 11 AM & 6 PM ET

  • Saturday, 3/21: 11 AM & 6 PM ET

  • Sunday, 3/22: 11 AM ET

  • Thursday, 3/26: 6 PM ET

  • Friday, 3/27: 6 PM ET

  • Saturday, 3/28: 11 AM & 6 PM ET

  • Sunday, 3/29: 11 AM ET

  • Saturday, 4/4: 11 AM & 6 PM ET

  • Monday, 4/6: 6 PM ET

  • All updates will be sent via EMAIL.

4)     PROFIT NUMBERS:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past six seasons:

PROFITS W-L (%) # of PLAYS PLAYS PER DAY (AVG.)
2003 + 24.70 18-34 (35%) 52 5.2
2004 + 15.45 16-33 (33%) 49 4.9
2005 + 12.25 12-34 (26%) 46 4.6
2006 + 37.98 15-36 (29%) 51 5.7*
2007 +   6.05 10-37 (21%) 47 4.7
2008 + 10.53 10-36 (22%) 46 5.1*
TOTAL +106.95 81-210 (28%) 291
AVG + 17.82   49 5.0

* In 2006 & 2008 there were only 9 days (for all other years it was 10). There are 10 days of the Tournament (we count the Tuesday Play-In game as part of the first day). So in 2006 and 2008 there were no plays that fell into the system on one day. (We will not be on EVERY game - only ML dogs of +120 to +2000).

As you can see each season finished with a profit, and 2007 was really the only 'off' season. The average profit was +17.82 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline 1 unit play that would be an average profit of $1,782, and a total profit of $10,695 over the past six seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $8,912 and a total profit of $53,473.

As you can see the last two tournaments have seen poor percentages for the dogs, however due to the weighted nature of this system those seasons still finished with profits. There are much MORE lower unit plays and much FEWER high unit plays, so this system has very little downside risk and tremendous upside potential.

5)     BANKROLL:

For this particular system, a bankroll of 10.0 units would have been sufficient in each of the past six seasons. That balance never would've gone negative and always would've had enough to cover the next day's games, even in the worst performing season (2007). 

Here is a breakdown of the # of plays by unit level for each year:

0.20 units 0.50 1.00 2.00 3.00 5.00 Total plays Total units
2003 20 12 10 4 3 3 52 52.00
2004 21 13 9 2 3 1 49 37.70
2005 19 11 9 3 3 1 46 38.30
2006 19 12 10 3 4 3 51 52.80
2007 22 11 8 3 1 2 47 36.90
2008 22 9 7 2 6 0 46 37.90
TOTAL 123 68 53 17 20 10 291 255.60
AVG. 21 11 9 3 3 2 49 42.60
AVG UNITS per PLAY: 0.88

6)     MORE NOTES:

  • The system this season is for the NCAA TOURNAMENT (the 'Big Dance') ONLY (not the NIT or CBI)

  • We will be adding the NIT & CBI in future seasons

  • We will be using the lines from BookMaker.com to determine the games that fall into the system

  • We will pull the lines at approximately 10:30 AM Eastern for the day update and 5:30 PM Eastern for the night update.

  • MOST of the lines in our database (over 80%) from 2003-2008 are from CRIS/BM (same lines). The 2003 lines are from BOS. ALL of the 2004- 2008 lines (239 out of 291 games) were from CRIS/BM. All were pulled at approximately the times above. 

  • Should you have any additional questions about this system, feel free to contact us

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To return to the list of systems by SPORT, click HERE.

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