1)     TYPE:

The CFL August system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system. To explain further, we have two different types of flat systems: PURE Flat and WEIGHTED Flat. Pure Flat systems are 1.00 units on EVERY PLAY. Weighted Flat systems vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units based on the historical data of the group (by Money Line Range, Home/Away/Neutral, etc.). We also have PROGRESSIVE systems that vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units as well. However the difference between Weighted Flat and PROGRESSIVE systems is that PRECEDING results (prior week, prior day, etc) have no impact on the upcoming plays. So there is no build factor or due factor, as there is with Progressive systems. That is why it is still a flat. The advantage of the Weighted Flat system is that we don't miss out on many dog wins, because we are on most - if not all of them - it's just a matter of to what extent. This disadvantage of weighted flat systems is since the higher unit plays are based on (in this case) 5-year historical data - if there is an off year or bad luck year - there can be more downside risk if the high unit groups don't perform well. More info on the different types of systems can be found in our FAQ's section.

2)     UNITS:  

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other services/systems release plays and to make it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above the CFL August system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, so your wager amounts will vary depending on the unit rating of the play. However we will not be using all of the unit levels for this particular system. For this system, we will only be utilizing 0.50, 1.00, 2.00 or 3.00 units.

Here are some sample dollar amounts relative to the units:

Units     ($) options

*0.20     $20       $100     $200     (1/5 your standard wager)    *WILL NOT BE USED FOR THIS SYSTEM

0.50     $50       $250     $500   (1/2 standard)

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> your standard wager

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000   2x standard

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000   3x standard  

*5.00     $500     $2500   $5000   5x standard     *WILL NOT BE USED FOR THIS SYSTEM

3)     UPDATE TIMES:

There will be ONE or TWO updates per day for this system (except Sunday) depending on whether or not there are day games:

• Monday - Saturday: 1st update (if day games): Approximately 12 PM ET (includes games that start prior to 7 PM ET)

• Monday - Saturday: 2nd update (for night games): Approximately 6 PM ET (includes games that start at 7 PM ET or later)

• Sunday: ONE update at approximately 12 PM ET (includes all games)

• For the CFL, most updates Monday - Saturday will be at 6 PM ET.

• All updates will be sent via EMAIL.

4)     PROFIT NUMBERS/ UNIT BREAKDOWN:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past five seasons:

As you can see four out of the five seasons finished with a profit. Considering there is such a small number of CFL games each month, we feel this system has solid upside potential and VERY low downside risk. Even in the worst performing year (2004) when there was only ONE underdog win, the losses were small. We consider that year to be extremely abnormal based on the data from the other years. It seems that 30-35% should be expected. 

The average profit across all five seasons was +3.72 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline (1.00 unit) play that would be an average profit of $372, and a total profit of $1,860 over the past five seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $1,860 and a total profit of $9,300.

As far as daily volume, as you can see it averaged 0.4 plays per day and 0.4 units per day. Keep in mind that is across the 31 days of August, not GAME days (there are usually only games on 2-3 days per week). Since there are 5 weekends this year in August, there might be slightly more plays than the last two seasons. We anticipate 2-3 plays per week, and 12-14 plays overall. 

Here is the breakdown of the # of plays by unit level for each year for this system:

5)     BANKROLL:

For this particular system, a bankroll of 10.0 units should be more than sufficient. With all of the seasons (even 2004), this would have been enough to support all of the wagers.

6)     MORE NOTES:

• For this system, we will BE ON EVERY DOG of +120 or higher

• For those of you who are seeking LESS RISK, we would advise you play this system as a PURE flat (1.00 unit on every play), and leave out the 0.50 unit plays. Here are the profit numbers if you were to remove the 0.50 unit plays, and play the 2.00's and 3.00's as pure flat (1.00 each):
  2004: +  2.25
  2005: +  6.90
  2006: +  6.25
  2007: +  1.70
  2008: +  4.05
  TOTAL: + 21.15
  AVG: +4.23

• You may be wondering why we're doing a weighted flat if the pure flat was more profitable overall and every season finished with a profit. There are three reasons: First of all there are so few CFL games that we don't feel the sample size is big enough to throw out any particular range based on the five years of data. In doing that, we risk the 'dogs exploding around us' - if this year were to be a 'correction' year in some of those 0.50 ranges. We experienced that with BOTH the NHL and NBA playoffs this year. Secondly, if it wasn't for 2004 (an abnormal year) the weighted flat would've done just as well as the pure flat - which makes it worth it to add the weightings and play the 0.5's. As you can see, the numbers for the other four years weren't that different. And finally, stripping out the 0.5's would only leave us with 30 total plays (6 plays per year on average). That's 1-2 games per week. Considering the downside risk is so low, we would rather be on all the games.

• We will be using the lines from BookMaker.com to determine the games that fall into the system.

• We will pull the lines at approximately 11:35 AM Eastern for the day update and 5:35 PM Eastern for the night update.

• Nearly 90% of the CFL lines in our database from 2004-2008 are from BetCRIS/BookMaker (same lines). Only 7 of the 65 lines were from Bet365.com, which is very similar. This was because in the past CRIS did not release money lines on all CFL games. However over the past two seasons, BookMaker has released Money Lines on every CFL game. We have no reason not to anticipate that they will do so again this season. 

• Should you have any additional questions about this system, feel free to contact us. 

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