1)
TYPE: The
MLB June Run Line system is a PURE FLAT system. To explain further, we
have two different types of flat systems: PURE Flat and WEIGHTED
Flat. Pure Flat systems are 1.00 units on EVERY PLAY. Weighted
Flat systems vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units based on the
historical data of the group (Money Line Range, Home/Away,
etc.). We also have PROGRESSIVE systems that vary from 0.20 to
5.00 units as well. However the difference between Weighted Flat and PROGRESSIVE
systems is that PRECEDING results (prior week, prior day, etc)
have no impact on the plays. So there is no build factor or due
factor, as there is with Progressive systems. That is why it is
still a flat. However with PURE Flat systems there is no
weighting at all. The advantage of the Pure Flat system is there
is far less downside risk (each play is 1 unit, and there are
far less plays). The disadvantage of Pure Flat is that we miss
out on 'dogs hitting around us' (outside the range) when there
are abnormal years. More info on the different types of systems
can be found in our 2)
UNITS: Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other services/systems release plays and to make it easy for everyone to multiply and understand. As stated above the MLB RL system is a PURE FLAT system, meaning you wager the same amount (1 UNIT) on every play. Units ($) options 0.20
$20
$100
$200 0.50
$50
$250
$500 1.00
$100
$500
$1000 2.00
$200
$1000 $2000
3.00
$300
$1500 $3000
5.00
$500
$2500 $5000 3)
UPDATE
TIMES: There will be ONE or TWO updates per day for the MLB systems (except Sunday) depending on whether or not there are day games:
4)
PROFIT
NUMBERS: Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past four seasons:
As you can see each season finished with a profit, and the average profit was +22.71 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline 1 unit play that would be an average profit of $2,271 per June, and a total profit of $9,085 over the past four seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $11,356 and a total profit of $45,425. As you can see this system has tremendous upside potential and very little downside risk. With an average of 60 plays, that's exactly two plays (2 units) per day on average. With the small number of plays and the fact that they're 1 unit each - this system is far less risky than the weighted flat systems. The other unique aspect of this system is that the plays are RUN LINE wagers. The team we're on has to 'cover' -1.5 runs (can't win by 1 run or lose), which means in most cases it's the team FAVORED to win. However because these wagers are PLUS payouts (we're only on run line plays of +120 or higher), we consider them to be 'underdogs' - at least mathematically. In other words, according to the sportsbooks, the events are an 'underdog' to happen, thus the plus payout. However this is a rare system in which we are not on the 'underdog' for the game outcome. This is the first month we are testing an MLB RUN LINE system, which is why we're keeping it a pure flat and a relatively small number of wagers per day. We chose the highest performing run line GROUPS (for example +140, +170, etc.) over the past FOUR seasons, broken out by AL/NL/INTERLEAGUE and Home vs. Away. So we'll see how it goes. If 2009 is similar to the previous four seasons, the system should be profitable. 5)
BANKROLL: For this particular system, since it's a pure flat and there's only an average of 2 plays per day, a bankroll of 10.0 units would have been sufficient in each of the past four seasons. That balance never would've gone negative and always would've had enough to cover the next day's plays, even in the worse performing seasons (2006 & 2007). 6) HOW FLAT SYSTEMS WORK: Flat systems are very simple, we've isolated the profitable MLB RUN LINE groups (In June, segmented by AL/NL/Interleague, and home and away within each league) over the past four years, and we play ONLY the games that fall into those groups. Because the groups are profitable, a flat system virtually assures profit (IF it's a normal season) with very little downside risk. 7) MORE NOTES:
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