MLB October (Playoffs) system:

NOTE: THIS IS THE 2009 page for this system. 
We may have modified this system for 2010.
To access the 2010 page, click HERE.

1)     TYPE:

The MLB October system is a PROGRESSIVE system. This means unit amounts are determined based on not only historical data but preceding (previous day's) plays. The more a particular play is due based on these two factors, the higher the unit rating. More information on Progressive systems and our different types of systems can be found in our FAQ's section.

2)     UNITS:  

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other services/systems release plays and to make it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

For this MLB system, we will only be utilizing 1.00 to 5.00 unit plays. 

Units     ($) options

0.20     $20       $100     $200  (not used for this system)

0.50     $50       $250     $500 (not used for this system)

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> your standard wager

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000   2x standard

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000   3x standard

5.00     $500     $2500   $5000   5x standard

3)     UPDATE TIMES:

ON DAYS WITH GAMES, there will be ONE or TWO updates per day for this MLB system (except Sunday) depending on whether or not there are day games:

  • Monday - Saturday: 1st update (if day games): Approximately *12 PM ET (includes games that start prior to 7 PM ET)

  • Monday - Saturday: 2nd update (for night games): Approximately 6 PM ET (includes games that start at 7 PM ET or later)

  • Sunday: ONE update at approximately 12 PM ET* (includes all games)

  • *NOTE: In the rare instance in which there is a game that starts prior to 12:20 PM ET the update will be sent earlier, at least 20 minutes prior to the start of the 1st game.

  • All updates will be sent via EMAIL.

4)     PROFIT NUMBERS:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past six seasons:

PROFITS W-L (%) # of PLAYS
2003 + 17.95 16-13 (55%) 29
2004 +  4.80 12-18 (40%) 30
2005 +  3.94   9-13 (41%) 22
2006 +  7.30 12-10 (55%) 22
2007 -   9.38   8-14 (36%) 22
2008 +  9.64 14-9  (61%) 23
TOTAL + 34.25 71-77 (48%) 148
AVG +  5.71 12-13 (48%) 25

As you can see every season has finished with a profit except 2007. You may be wondering what happened that season and why we are continuing this system despite the fact that it has not worked every season. In 2007 the Boston Red Sox single-handedly killed us by winning 7 playoff games in a row, and they were favored in all 7. They won the final 3 games in the ALCS against the Indians and they swept Colorado in the world series. We think the probability of a team winning 7 games in a row to close out the playoffs and being favored in all 7 is so low, we are continuing ahead with this system. 

Despite the losses in 2007 the average profit across the six seasons is +5.71 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline 1 unit play that would be an average profit of $571 per playoffs, and a total profit of $3,425 over the past six seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $2,854 and a total profit of $17,125.

So we still feel this system has solid upside potential and very little downside risk, considering the fact that despite that disastrous close out in 2007 we still only finished with single-digit losses. You also may be wondering why there were substantially more plays in 2003 and 2004. In 2003 there was an abnormal number of underdogs due to the Florida Marlins, who were underdogs in 12 games (and won 8 of them, which is why the system did so well that season). In 2004 it was due to the particular way the pitchers matched up and the fact that both the ALCS and NLCS went the full 7 games, and one of the divisional series went the full 5 games. We consider both of these seasons to be more plays than usual, as evident by the fact that the next four were 22-23 plays and three of them were 22 exactly. So we'll see what happens this season, but we anticipate 20-25 plays. 

5)     BANKROLL:

For this particular system, there is a small number of plays and they are spread out over the course of the month (although there is a high concentration in the divisional rounds obviously). So a bankroll of 10.0 units would have been sufficient in each of the past six seasons. That balance never would've gone negative (except in 2007 at the very end).

6)    MORE NOTES:

  • We will be using the lines from BoDog (http://sports.bodog.com/sports-betting/mlb-baseball.jsp) to determine the games that fall into the system.

  • We will pull the lines at approximately 11:35 AM Eastern for the day update and 5:35 PM Eastern for the night update.

  • Over 76% of the playoff money lines in our database from 2003-2008 are from BODOG, including ALL of the lines from 2005-2008. The rest of the lines in 2003-04 are from CRIS, which has similar lines. All lines were pulled at approximately the times above. So for the most part this system is 'apples-to-apples'. 

  • Should you have any additional questions about this system, feel free to contact us

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