1)     TYPE:

The NBA Playoffs system is a PURE FLAT system. To explain further, we have two different types of flat systems: PURE Flat and WEIGHTED Flat. Pure Flat systems are 1.00 units on EVERY PLAY. Weighted Flat systems vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units based on the historical data of the group (Money Line Range, Home/Away, etc.). We also have PROGRESSIVE systems that vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units as well. However the difference between Weighted Flat and PROGRESSIVE systems is that PRECEDING results (prior week, prior day, etc) have no impact on the plays. So there is no build factor or due factor, as there is with Progressive systems. That is why it is still a flat. However with PURE Flat systems there is no weighting at all. The advantage of the Pure Flat system is there is far less downside risk (each play is 1 unit, and there are far less plays). The disadvantage of Pure Flat is that we miss out on 'dogs hitting around us' (outside the range) when there are abnormal years. More info on the different types of systems can be found in our 
FAQ's section.

2)     UNITS:  

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other services/systems release plays and to make it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above the NBA system is a PURE FLAT system, meaning you wager the same amount (1 UNIT) on every play.

Units     ($) options

0.20     $20       $100     $200

0.50     $50       $250     $500

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> FOR PURE FLAT systems, every play is 1 UNIT (your standard play)

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000  

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000  

5.00     $500     $2500   $5000

3)     UPDATE TIMES:

On most days there will be ONE update for this system. On Saturdays, there may be two updates, if there are day games. Here is the update schedule:

• Monday - Friday: Approximately 6 PM ET (for games that start at 7 PM ET or later)

• Saturday (if day games): Approximately 12 PM ET (for games that start prior to 7 PM ET)

• Saturday: 2nd update (or only update if no day games): Approximately 6 PM ET (for games that start at 7 PM ET or later)

• Sunday: ONE update at approximately 12 PM ET* (includes all games)

• In the event that there is a day game that starts before 12:30 PM Eastern we will send the AM update out earlier, at least 30 minutes prior to the start of the first game.

• All updates will be sent via EMAIL.

4)     PROFIT NUMBERS:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past six seasons:

As you can see each season finished with a profit, and the average profit was +9.68 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline 1 unit play that would be an average profit of $968 per playoffs, and a total profit of $5,805 for the playoffs over the past six seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $4,838 and a total profit of $29,025.

As you can see this system has tremendous upside potential and very little downside risk. With an average of 21.5 plays, since the playoffs stretch over a two month period - that's about a play every 3 days. However obviously there is a greater concentration of plays in the early rounds. Even still, with the small number of plays and the fact that they're 1 unit each - this system is far less risky than some of the weighted flat systems we're doing right now (MLB April and NHL). The other thing that's exciting about this system is the cyclical pattern that seems to be developing. You'll notice above that the last time there was a season around 40% (2004), the next year this system exploded to hit at 71%! So hopefully, this pattern will continue this year.

5)     BANKROLL:

For this particular system, since it's a pure flat and there's only an average of 1-2 games per day (on days with plays - for the entire playoff period it's just over a play every 3 days), a bankroll of 10.0 units would have been sufficient in each of the past six seasons. That balance never would've gone negative and always would've had enough to cover the next day's games, even in the worst performing seasons (this was 2004, which started 1-9, then went 8-3 the rest of the way to still finish with a profit.

6)    HOW FLAT SYSTEMS WORK:

Flat systems are very simple, we've isolated the profitable NBA ranges (for the playoffs, home and away, by conference and for the Finals) over the past six years, and we play ONLY the games that fall into those ranges. Because the ranges are profitable, a flat system virtually assures profit with very little downside risk. In the case of the NBA playoffs, a progressive system would be too risky in case it's an abnormal season and one of the ranges fails to hit at historical levels. After analyzing the data we concluded that a flat system is the safer route to ensure profits for this segment.

7)     MORE NOTES:

• We will be using the lines from BookMaker.com to determine the games that fall into the system

• We will pull the lines at approximately 5:30 PM Eastern on days with night games only (usually Monday - Saturday) or 11:30 AM Eastern on days with day games (usually Sundays).

• MOST of the lines in our database (over 85%) from 2003-2008 are from CRIS/BM (same lines). Only the 2003 lines were from BOS (very similar). ALL of the 2004- 2008 lines were from CRIS/BM. All lines were pulled at approximately the times above.

• Should you have any additional questions about the March NBA Flat system, feel free to contact us. 

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