College Basketball March Conference Tournament system:

TYPE: TRACK-RECORD: 2009-10 results: MODIFIED from last year?
PURE FLAT 7-YEAR +14.70 units NO
UNIT SCALE: PAST RESULTS (this system): 2009-10 PAGE: 2009-10 SUMMARY:
1.00 unit plays only +157.25 units Click HERE Click HERE (coming soon)

TYPE:

The March CBB Conference Tournament system is a PURE FLAT system. To explain further, we have two different types of flat systems: PURE Flat and WEIGHTED Flat. Pure Flat systems are 1.00 units on EVERY PLAY. Weighted Flat systems vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units based on the historical data of the group (Money Line Range, Home/Away, etc.). We also have PROGRESSIVE systems that vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units as well. However the difference between Weighted Flat and PROGRESSIVE systems is that PRECEDING results (prior week, prior day, etc) have no impact on the plays. So there is no build factor or due factor, as there is with Progressive systems. That is why it is still a flat. However with PURE Flat systems there is no weighting at all. The advantage of the Pure Flat system is there is far less downside risk (each play is 1 unit, and there are far less plays). The disadvantage of Pure Flat is that we miss out on 'dogs hitting around us' (outside the range) when there are abnormal years. For more on the different types of systems, click HERE (will open in a separate window).

UNITS:

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other services/systems release plays and to make it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above the March CBB Conference Tournament system is a PURE FLAT system, meaning you wager the same amount 
(1 UNIT) on every play.

Units     ($) options

0.20     $20       $100     $200

0.50     $50       $250     $500

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> FOR PURE FLAT systems, every play is 1 UNIT (your standard play)

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000  

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000  

5.00     $500     $2500   $5000

UPDATE TIMES:

MARCH updates will be sent as follows: 

  • Monday through Saturday, by 6 PM ET (for night games)

  • Sundays by 11 AM ET (for all games)

  • In the event that there are DAY games Monday - Saturday, an update will be sent by 11 AM ET.

PROFIT NUMBERS:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past 7 seasons:

PROFITS W-L (%) # of PLAYS PLAYS PER DAY (AVG.)
2003 + 23.85 14-15 (48%) 29 7.3*
2004 +  2.75 10-17 (37%) 27 6.8*
2005 + 31.35 16-14 (53%) 30 7.5*
2006 + 24.35 20-16 (56%) 36 6.0
2007 + 30.55 14-15 (48%) 29 4.8
2008 + 29.70 20-13 (61%) 33 5.5
2009 + 14.70 13-13 (50%) 26 4.3
TOTAL +157.25 107-103 (51%) 210
AVG + 22.46   30 5.8

* 2003-2005 there were only 4 days (Thursday - Sunday) for the 8 conferences we're utilizing for this system (for more on the conferences see 'NOTES' below). 2006-2009 there were 6 days (Tuesday - Sunday). This season there will also be 6 days. 

As you can see each season finished with a profit, and 2004 was really the only 'off' season. The average profit was +22.46 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline 1 unit play that would be an average profit of $2,246, and a total profit of $15,725 over the past 7 seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $11,230 and a total profit of $78,625.

As you can see over the worse performing season was 37%, and that season seems to be abnormal and an outlier. So we feel this system has very little downside risk and tremendous upside potential.

HOW FLAT SYSTEMS WORK:

Flat systems are very simple. We isolate the historical profitable ranges for a given group of games and play ONLY the games that fall into those ranges. Because the ranges are profitable, a flat system virtually assures profit with very little downside risk. In the case of these conference tournaments, a progressive system would be too risky in case it's an abnormal season and one of the ranges fails to hit at historical levels. After analyzing the data we concluded that a flat system is the safer route to ensure profits for this particular college basketball segment.

MORE NOTES:

  • The system this season features 8 conferences: ACC, BIG 12, BIG EAST, BIG TEN, C-USA, MOUNTAIN WEST, PAC-10, and SEC.

  • In future seasons, we will be looking to add more conferences (i.e. A-10, BIG WEST, MAC & WAC)

  • We will be using the lines from BookMaker.com to determine the games that fall into the system

  • We will pull the lines at approximately 10:30 AM Eastern for the day update and 5:30 PM Eastern for the night update.

  • MOST of the lines in our database (over 80%) from 2003-2008 are from CRIS/BM (same lines). A small percentage of the 2003 & 2006 lines were from Pinnacle or BOS. ALL of the 2004, 2005, & 2007-2009 lines were from CRIS/BM.

  • The following provides the records of the FIRST 10 games each season:
    2003: 5-5
    2004: 4-6
    2005: 6-4
    2006: 5-5
    2007: 4-6
    2008: 6-4
    2009: 5-5

  • Should you have any additional questions about this system, feel free to contact us

To return to the home page, click HERE.

To return to the list of systems by MONTH, click HERE.

To return to the list of systems by SPORT, click HERE.

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