CFB October system:

TYPE:

This particular football betting system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system. To explain further, we have two different types of flat systems: PURE Flat and WEIGHTED Flat. Pure Flat systems are 1 UNIT on EVERY PLAY. Weighted Flat systems vary from 0.2 to 5 units based on the historical data of the group (our data is sorted by Money Line Range, Home/Away, Conference, Day, etc.). The advantage of Weighted Flat systems is we don't miss out on many dog wins, because we are on most - if not all of them - it's just a matter of to what extent. Pure Flat systems generally feature less plays, because we ONLY play the profitable ranges. The disadvantage of weighted flat systems is because the higher unit plays are based on HISTORICAL data - if there's an off year or bad luck year - there can be a greater likelihood of losses if the high unit groups don't perform well. For more on the different types of systems, click HERE.

UNITS:

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other services/systems release plays and to make it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above our CFB October system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, so your wager amounts will vary depending on the unit rating of the play. Here are some sample dollar amounts relative to the units:

Units     ($) options

0.20     $20       $100     $200     (1/5 your standard wager)

0.50     $50       $250     $500     (1/2 standard)

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> your standard wager

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000   2x standard

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000   3x standard  

5.00     $500     $2500   $5000   5x standard

UPDATE TIMES:

OCTOBER updates will be sent as follows: 

• Monday through Friday: at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for MLB playoff day games) and 6 PM (for night games; all sports)

• Friday: by 9 PM ET (for Saturday through Sunday football)

• Saturday: at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for MLB playoff day games) and 6 PM (for MLB playoff night games)

• Sunday: at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for all MLB playoff games)

PROFIT NUMBERS:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past 7 seasons:

As you can see each season finished with a profit, and only one season was in single digits. We feel this system has tremendous upside potential and low downside risk. You'll also notice that in 2003 there were considerably less plays than the other seasons with 4 Saturdays (2006-2008). That's because in 2003 we used BOS & Olympic. In 2004 we started using CRIS/BookMaker. Although their money lines are extremely similar, BOS and Olympic did not release many of the higher money lines (+800 and up). Additionally, they did not release money lines for Sun Belt games. So that is why we have less games in that year. However even if you throw that season out this is still a system with a 6-year track record of profits. 

This season there will be FIVE Saturdays in October, so we anticipate 140-180 plays (28-36 per week).

The average profit across all six seasons was +32.53 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline (1.00 unit) play that would be an average profit of $3,253, and a total profit of $22,772 over the past 7 seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $16,266 and a total profit of $113,860.

As far as daily volume, as you can see it averaged 4.4 plays per day and 2.8 units per day. Keep in mind that is across the 31 days of the calendar month of October. That is not the average on GAME days (some days there are no games). Obviously, the largest day is Saturday. The average Saturday was 15.38 units. Here is the unit breakdown by year for Saturdays:

PLAY BREAKDOWN:

Here is a breakdown of the # of plays by unit level for each year:

MORE NOTES:

• For this system, we will NOT BE ON EVERY DOG. Some of the ranges did not perform well enough from 2003-2009 to justify a play at any unit level. 

• We will be using the lines from BookMaker.com to determine the games that fall into the system.

• We will pull the lines at approximately 5:35 PM Eastern Monday through Friday (the Friday lines are also used for weekend games).

• A quick note about 'BIG DOGS'. It is frustrating when we're not on a big dog that hits. However you should know that there's a statistical reason for this. We started tracking October big dogs in 2004, and from 2005-2008, here's the performance:
  
                                           October road dogs +1000 and higher (2005-2008): 7-115; *+49.00 units
  
  *The ONLY reason this group is profitable is due to Stanford's win at USC in 2007 (+7500, +75.00 units). If not for that game, playing all of these dogs would have resulted in -26.00 units. Of the 7 that did hit, four of them were +1300 or less.
  
  *HOME dogs of +1000 or higher in October were a completely different story. They were extremely profitable (+59.50) and it was NOT the result of just one game. So we will be on every home dog BM puts a line out for, it's just a matter of to what extent. 
   

• For this system, over 86% of the lines in our database are from CRIS/BM (same). Approximately 11% are from BOS, Olympic, or The Greek (very similar to CRIS/BM). Only 3% are from Pinnacle (money lines occasionally higher). So for the most part, this system is 'apples-to-apples'. 

• Should you have any additional questions about this system, feel free to contact us. 

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