MLB April system:

TYPE:

This particular baseball betting system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system. To explain further, we have two different types of flat systems: PURE Flat and WEIGHTED Flat. Pure Flat systems are 1.00 units on EVERY PLAY. Weighted Flat systems vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units based on the historical data of the group (by Money Line Range, Home/Away). We also have PROGRESSIVE systems that vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units as well. However the difference between Weighted Flat and PROGRESSIVE systems is that PRECEDING results (prior week, prior day, etc) have no impact on the upcoming plays. So there is no build factor or due factor, as there is with Progressive systems. That is why it is still a flat. The advantage of the Weighted Flat system is that we don't miss out on many dog wins, because we are on most - if not all of them - it's just a matter of to what extent. This disadvantage of weighted flat systems is since the higher unit plays are based on (in this case) 9-year historical data - if there is an off year or bad luck year - there can be more downside risk if the high unit groups don't perform well. More info on the different types of systems can be found in our FAQ's section.

UNITS:

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other handicapping services and sports betting systems release plays. It also makes it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above the April MLB system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, so your wager amounts will vary depending on the unit rating of the play. However we will not be using all of the unit levels for this particular system. For this system, we will only be utilizing 1.00, 2.00 or 3.00 units.

Here are some sample dollar amounts relative to the units:

Units     ($) options

*0.20     $20       $100     $200     (1/5 your standard wager)    *WILL NOT BE USED FOR THIS SYSTEM

*0.50     $50       $250     $500     (1/2 standard)     *WILL NOT BE USED FOR THIS SYSTEM

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> your standard wager

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000   2x standard

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000   3x standard  

*5.00     $500     $2500   $5000   5x standard     *WILL NOT BE USED FOR THIS SYSTEM

UPDATE TIMES:

APRIL updates will be sent as follows: 

• Monday through Saturday, by 6 PM ET (for night games)

• Monday through Saturday, at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for day games) 

• Sundays at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for all games)

PROFIT NUMBERS:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past 9 seasons:

* In some of the years the season did not begin on April 1st, which is why not every season featured 30 days. Opening day 2010 is April 4th, so there will be 27 days this season. So we anticipate slightly more plays than last season, however it all depends on the schedule, how the teams match-up and the money lines.

As you can see each season finished with a profit, and just 3 of the 9 seasons finished in single digits, including the last two. So we're hoping the cycle turns back in our favor this season. Still, the average profit across all 9 seasons was +15.31 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline (1.00 unit) play that would be an average profit of $1,531, and a total profit of $13,779 over the past 9 seasons. 
If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $7,655 and a total profit of $68,895.

Because this system consistently hits at 40-45%, and there are much more 1.00 unit plays than 2.00 or 3.00 unit plays (see breakdown below), this system has very little downside risk and tremendous upside potential.

PLAY BREAKDOWN:

Here is a breakdown of the # of plays by unit level for each year:

MORE NOTES:

• The system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, however we will NOT BE ON EVERY DOG. The plays for this system fall within specific ranges (the highest performing ranges over the past 9 seasons). Those ranges have not changed since we started the April system (in the past this was a pure flat system). In 2008 we added the weightings to increase the likelihood of profits without substantial downside risk. So this is a bit of a hybrid between a pure flat system and a weighted system that is on every dog.

• We will be using the lines from BoDog to determine the games that fall into the system.

• We will pull the lines at approximately 11:35 AM Eastern for the day update and 5:35 PM Eastern for the night update.

• MOST of the lines in our database (over 67%) from 2001-2009 are from BODOG. The 2001-2002 lines are from Wagerline.com. The 2003-2004 lines are from either CRIS or BODOG (similar). ALL of the 2005-2009 lines are from BODOG. All lines were pulled at approximately the times above.

• Should you have any additional questions about this system, feel free to contact us. 

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