MLB June Money Line system:

TYPE:

This particular baseball betting system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system. To explain further, we have two different types of flat systems: PURE Flat and WEIGHTED Flat. Pure Flat systems are 1.00 units on EVERY PLAY. Weighted Flat systems vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units based on the historical data of the group (by Money Line Range, Home/Away). We also have PROGRESSIVE systems that vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units as well. However the difference between Weighted Flat and PROGRESSIVE systems is that PRECEDING results (prior week, prior day, etc) have no impact on the upcoming plays. So there is no build factor or due factor, as there is with Progressive systems. That is why it is still a flat. The advantage of the Weighted Flat system is that we don't miss out on many dog wins, because we are on most - if not all of them - it's just a matter of to what extent. This disadvantage of weighted flat systems is since the higher unit plays are based on (in this case) 5-year historical data - if there is an off year or bad luck year - there can be more downside risk if the high unit groups don't perform well. More info on the different types of systems can be found in our FAQ's section.

UNITS:

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other handicapping services and sports betting systems release plays. It also makes it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above the June MLB Money Line system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, so your wager amounts will vary depending on the unit rating of the play. However we will not be using all of the unit levels for this particular system. For this system, we will only be utilizing 1.00, 2.00 or 3.00 units.

Here are some sample dollar amounts relative to the units:

Units     ($) options

*0.20     $20       $100     $200     (1/5 your standard wager)    *WILL NOT BE USED FOR THIS SYSTEM

*0.50     $50       $250     $500     (1/2 standard)     *WILL NOT BE USED FOR THIS SYSTEM

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> your standard wager

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000   2x standard

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000   3x standard  

*5.00     $500     $2500   $5000   5x standard     *WILL NOT BE USED FOR THIS SYSTEM

UPDATE TIMES:

JUNE updates will be sent as follows: 

• Monday through Saturday, by 6 PM ET (for night games)

• Monday through Saturday, at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for day games) 

• Sundays at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for all games)

PROFIT NUMBERS:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past 5 seasons:

As you can see, the only problem with last season is that there weren't enough plays! The percentage was solid (51%), however there were substantially less plays than in previous seasons. It's hard to pinpoint exactly why this happened, however it is probably just a result of the schedule (the way the teams matched up, including Interleague), the pitching match-ups, the number of rain-outs and the fact that there were only 4 weekends in June (for instance in 2007 there were 5 weekends). Regardless, we are obviously not modifying this system for 2010, due to the solid record and profit total (given the number of plays). Hopefully, although there will once again be only 4 weekends in June this year, there will be more plays this season and the ranges will once again hit at normal levels.

So we're excited about the potential for this system because each season finished with a sizable profit. Now the average profit across all 5 seasons is +54.92 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline (1.00 unit) play that would be an average profit of $5,492, and a total profit of $27,462 over the past 5 seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $27,462 and a total profit of $137,310.

Because this system consistently hits at 50% or higher, and there are much more 1.00 unit plays than 2.00 or 3.00 unit plays 
(see breakdown below), this system has very little downside risk and tremendous upside potential.

PLAY BREAKDOWN:

Here is a breakdown of the # of plays by unit level for each year:

MORE NOTES:

• The system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, however we will NOT BE ON EVERY DOG. Similar to the April and May systems, the plays fall within specific ranges (the highest performing ranges, in this case over the past 5 seasons).

• For those of you who are seeking a little LESS RISK, we would advise you play this system as a PURE flat (1.00 unit on every play). Here are the profit numbers if you were to remove the weightings and play this as a pure flat: 2005: +26.30; 2006: +35.47; 2007: +71.65; 2008: +40.32; 2009: +18.35; TOTAL: +192.09; AVG: +38.42

• We will be using the lines from BoDog to determine the games that fall into the system.

• We will pull the lines at approximately 11:35 AM Eastern for the day update and 5:35 PM Eastern for the night update.

• ALL of the MLB June money lines in our database from 2005-2009 are from BODOG. All lines were pulled at approximately the times above. This system is 100% 'apples-to-apples'. 

• Should you have any additional questions about this system, feel free to contact us.

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