MLB June Run Line system:

TYPE:

This particular baseball betting system is a PURE FLAT system. To explain further, we have two different types of flat systems: PURE Flat and WEIGHTED Flat. Pure Flat systems are 1.00 units on EVERY PLAY. Weighted Flat systems vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units based on the historical data of the group (Money Line Range, Home/Away, AL/NL/Interleague, etc.). We also have PROGRESSIVE systems that vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units as well. However the difference between Weighted Flat and PROGRESSIVE systems is that PRECEDING results (prior week, prior day, etc) have no impact on the plays. So there is no build factor or due factor, as there is with Progressive systems. That is why it is still a flat. However with PURE Flat systems there is no weighting at all. The advantage of the Pure Flat system is there is far less downside risk (each play is 1 unit, and there are far less plays). The disadvantage of Pure Flat is that we miss out on 'dogs hitting around us' (outside the range) when there are abnormal years. For more on the different types of systems, click HERE (will open in a separate window).

UNITS:

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other handicapping services and sports betting systems release plays. It also makes it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above the May MLB system is a PURE FLAT system, meaning you wager the same amount (1 UNIT) on every play.

Units     ($) options

0.20     $20       $100     $200

0.50     $50       $250     $500

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> FOR PURE FLAT systems, every play is 1 UNIT (your standard play)

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000  

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000  

5.00     $500     $2500   $5000

UPDATE TIMES:

JUNE updates will be sent as follows: 

• Monday through Saturday, by 6 PM ET (for night games)

• Monday through Saturday, at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for day games) 

• Sundays at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for all games)

PROFIT NUMBERS:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past 5 seasons:

NOTE: The unique aspect of this system is that the plays are RUN LINE wagers. The team we're on has to 'cover' -1.5 runs (can't win by 1 run or lose), which means in most cases it's the team FAVORED to win. However because these wagers are PLUS payouts (we're only on Run Line plays of +120 or higher), we consider them to be 'underdogs' - at least mathematically. In other words, according to the sportsbooks, the events are an 'underdog' to happen, thus the plus payout. However this is a rare system in which we are not on the 'underdog' for the game outcome. Last season was the first year we added this system, which is why we kept it conservative 
(a pure flat and a relatively small number of wagers per day). As you can see, it didn't exactly set the world on fire (although it was profitable), so we are leaving this system unmodified for 2010.

So although last season was the worst performing season of the five, there were some positive signs. We had the exact same number of plays as 2008, yet 16 less wins. That's a good sign because everything goes in cycles, and the cycle could turn around in our favor this season. Another encouraging thing about last season is that 12 of the 41 losses were games in which the team we were on won by one run (therefore didn't cover the -1.5). And yet another positive sign is that we were at +7.45 units heading into June 27th. Unfortunately June 27th & 28th we endured a crazy 0-8 run. The final two days of the month were back to normal so we still finished with a profit. So when you factor the abnormal number of 1-run wins and that abnormal 2-day run we feel this system has tremendous upside potential and low downside risk.

Last year's numbers knocked the average profit down to +18.68 units across the five seasons. So if you use $100 as your baseline 1 unit play that would be an average profit of $1,868 per June, and a total profit of $9,340 over the past 5 seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $9,340 and a total profit of $46,700.

MORE NOTES:

• We will be using the lines from BoDog to determine the games that fall into the system.

• We will pull the lines at approximately 11:35 AM Eastern for the day update and 5:35 PM Eastern for the night update.

• ALL of the MLB June RUN LINES in our database from 2005-2009 are from BODOG. All lines were pulled at approximately the times above. This system is 100% 'apples-to-apples'. 

• Should you have any additional questions about this system, feel free to contact us. 

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