MLB May system:

TYPE: TRACK-RECORD: 2009-10 results: MODIFIED from last year?
PURE FLAT 5-YEAR - 2.61 units YES
UNIT SCALE: PAST RESULTS (this system): 2009-10 PAGE: 2009-10 SUMMARY:
1.00 unit plays only +79.98 units Click HERE Click HERE (coming soon)

TYPE:

This particular baseball betting system is a PURE FLAT system. To explain further, we have two different types of flat systems: PURE Flat and WEIGHTED Flat. Pure Flat systems are 1.00 units on EVERY PLAY. Weighted Flat systems vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units based on the historical data of the group (Money Line Range, Home/Away, AL/NL/Interleague, etc.). We also have PROGRESSIVE systems that vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units as well. However the difference between Weighted Flat and PROGRESSIVE systems is that PRECEDING results (prior week, prior day, etc) have no impact on the plays. So there is no build factor or due factor, as there is with Progressive systems. That is why it is still a flat. However with PURE Flat systems there is no weighting at all. The advantage of the Pure Flat system is there is far less downside risk (each play is 1 unit, and there are far less plays). The disadvantage of Pure Flat is that we miss out on 'dogs hitting around us' (outside the range) when there are abnormal years. For more on the different types of systems, click HERE (will open in a separate window).

UNITS:

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other handicapping services and sports betting systems release plays. It also makes it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above the May MLB system is a PURE FLAT system, meaning you wager the same amount (1 UNIT) on every play.

Units     ($) options

0.20     $20       $100     $200

0.50     $50       $250     $500

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> FOR PURE FLAT systems, every play is 1 UNIT (your standard play)

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000  

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000  

5.00     $500     $2500   $5000

UPDATE TIMES:

MAY updates will be sent as follows: 

  • Monday through Saturday, by 6 PM ET (for night games)

  • Monday through Saturday, at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for day games) 

  • Sundays at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for all games)

PROFIT NUMBERS:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past 5 seasons:

PROFITS W-L (%) # of PLAYS PLAYS PER DAY (AVG.)
2005 + 24.25 58-61 (49%) 119 3.8
2006 + 18.97 48-56 (46%) 104 3.4
2007 + 13.02 56-70 (44%) 126 4.1
2008 + 20.60 48-50 (49%) 98 3.2
2009 +  3.14 42-57 (42%) 99 3.2
TOTAL + 79.98 252-294 (46%) 546
AVG + 16.00 50-59 (46%) 109 3.5

For this system, we have made one MINOR modification to the ranges of the 2009 system, and we also removed the weightings (the 2009 system was a weighted flat). As a result we now have a system that would have been profitable last year. However as you can see, last season was the worst performing season not only as far as units but record as well. This is due to a lot of abnormal results. For instance, one group (NL HOME DOGS of +120 to +125) had a track record of 13-14 from 2005 to 2008. Last season they went 0-5. Another group (NL ROAD +160 to +174) went 18-26 from 2005 to 2008. Last season they went 0-7. We also had TWO 1-run losses in 11 innings, a 3-run bottom of the ninth comeback that went against us and the Indians blowing a 7-0 lead heading into the 4th inning of a game with Tampa (they lost 8-7). So because last season was freakish statistically and we ran into bad luck on a lot of games, we feel this system is solid and we should be due for a correction back to normal numbers this year. 

Even with last year's numbers, the average profit across all 5 seasons for this system is +16.00 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline (1.00 unit) play that would be an average profit of $1,600, and a total profit of $7,998 over the past 5 seasons. 
If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $7,998 and a total profit of $39,990.

Because we have now converted this system into a pure flat and even the worst performing season of the past five still finished with a profit, we feel this system has very little downside risk and tremendous upside potential.

MORE NOTES:

  • We will be using the lines from BoDog to determine the games that fall into the system.

  • We will pull the lines at approximately 11:35 AM Eastern for the day update and 5:35 PM Eastern for the night update.

  • ALL of the MLB May money lines in our database from 2005-2009 are from BODOG. All lines were pulled at approximately the times above. This system is 100% 'apples-to-apples'. 

  • Should you have any additional questions about this system, feel free to contact us

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