NBA March system:

TYPE: TRACK-RECORD: 2009-10 RESULTS: MODIFIED from last year?
PURE FLAT 7-YEAR +4.40 units NO
UNIT SCALE: PAST RESULTS (this system): 2009-10 PAGE: 2009-10 SUMMARY:
1.00 unit plays only +73.39 units Click HERE Click HERE (coming soon)

TYPE:

The March NBA betting system is a PURE FLAT system. To explain further, we have two different types of flat systems: PURE Flat and WEIGHTED Flat. Pure Flat systems are 1.00 units on EVERY PLAY. Weighted Flat systems vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units based on the historical data of the group (Money Line Range, Home/Away, etc.). We also have PROGRESSIVE systems that vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units as well. However the difference between Weighted Flat and PROGRESSIVE systems is that PRECEDING results (prior week, prior day, etc) have no impact on the plays. So there is no build factor or due factor, as there is with Progressive systems. That is why it is still a flat. However with PURE Flat systems there is no weighting at all. The advantage of the Pure Flat system is there is far less downside risk (each play is 1 unit, and there are far less plays). The disadvantage of Pure Flat is that we miss out on 'dogs hitting around us' (outside the range) when there are abnormal years. For more on the different types of systems, click HERE (will open in a separate window).

UNITS:

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other handicapping services and sports betting systems release plays. It also makes it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above the March NBA system is a PURE FLAT system, meaning you wager the same amount (1 UNIT) on every play.

Units     ($) options

0.20     $20       $100     $200

0.50     $50       $250     $500

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> FOR PURE FLAT systems, every play is 1 UNIT (your standard play)

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000  

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000  

5.00     $500     $2500   $5000

UPDATE TIMES:

MARCH updates will be sent as follows: 

  • Monday through Saturday, by 6 PM ET (for night games)

  • Sundays by 11 AM ET (for all games)

  • In the event that there are DAY games Monday - Saturday, an update will be sent by 11 AM ET.

PROFIT NUMBERS:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past 7 seasons:

PROFITS W-L (%) # of PLAYS PLAYS PER DAY (AVG.)
2003 + 16.67 22-31 (42%) 53 1.7
2004 +  4.10 13-29 (31%) 42 1.4
2005 +  7.90 20-38 (34%) 58 1.9
2006 + 22.27 25-40 (38%) 65 2.1
2007 +  3.25 18-36 (33%) 54 1.7
2008 + 14.80 17-26 (40%) 43 1.4
2009 +  4.40 15-28 (35%) 43 1.4
TOTAL + 73.39 130-228 (36%) 358
AVG + 10.48   51 1.6

As you can see each season finished with a profit, and the average profit was +10.48 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline 1 unit play that would be an average profit of $1,048 per March, and a total profit of $7,339 over the past 7 seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $5,242 and a total profit of $36,695.

As you can see over the past five seasons there seems to be an 'alternating' effect. We are hoping that continues this season. Regardless, we decided NOT to modify this system after last season because after all profits are profits. The worse performing March was 31% and the lowest profit total was +3.25 units. So this is a system with very little downside risk and solid upside potential.

HOW FLAT SYSTEMS WORK:

Flat systems are very simple, we've isolated the profitable NBA ranges (for the month of March, home and away) over the past 7 years, and we play ONLY the games that fall into those ranges. Because the ranges are profitable, a flat system virtually assures profit with very little downside risk. In the case of NBA March, a progressive system would be too risky in case it's an abnormal month and one of the ranges fails to hit at historical levels. After analyzing the data we concluded that a flat system for the NBA in March is the safer route to ensure profits.

MORE NOTES:

  • We will be using the lines from BookMaker.com to determine the games that fall into the system

  • We will pull the lines at approximately 5:30 PM Eastern on days with night games only (usually Monday - Saturday) or 10:30 AM Eastern on days with day games (usually Sundays).

  • MOST of the lines in our database (over 80%) from 2003-2009 are from CRIS/BM (same lines). A small percentage of the 2003 & 2006 lines were from Pinnacle or BOS. ALL of the 2004, 2005, & 2007-2009 lines were from CRIS/BM.

  • Should you have any additional questions about the March NBA Flat system, feel free to contact us

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To return to the list of systems by MONTH, click HERE.

To return to the list of systems by SPORT, click HERE.

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