NBA Playoffs system:

TYPE:

Our NBA playoffs betting system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, which means the wager amounts will vary based on the historical performance of the group. For more on the different types of systems, click HERE (will open in a separate window). 

As with most of our systems, we will be on money line underdogs only. Units will vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units based on the historical data of the group. Groups are broken out by Money Line Range, Home/Away, Conference, Round, etc. This particular system is based on 7 YEARS of data. After an analysis of the 2009 data, we have modified this system slightly from last year.

UNITS:

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other handicapping services and sports betting systems release plays. It also makes it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above the NBA Playoffs system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, so your wager amounts will vary depending on the unit rating of the play. Here are some sample dollar amounts relative to the units:

Units     ($) options

0.20     $20       $100     $200     (1/5 your standard wager)

0.50     $50       $250     $500     (1/2 standard)

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> your standard wager

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000   2x standard

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000   3x standard  

5.00     $500     $2500   $5000   5x standard

UPDATE TIMES:

APRIL-JUNE updates will be sent as follows: 

• Monday through Saturday, by 6 PM ET (for night games)

• Monday through Saturday, at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for day games) 

• Sundays at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for all games)

PROFIT NUMBERS:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past 7 seasons:

* Total days = Calendar days for the duration of the playoffs, including days with no games.

She first thing you may be wondering is, if the system finished with a profit last season (+5.50 units; see top of this page), then why are we modifying it? The answer is - while profits are profits and we're certainly pleased about that - finishing at just over 5 units for a 60-day system is something we feel can be improved upon. We noticed a lot of dogs hitting last season that we were NOT on, especially on the fringes of our ranges. So we analyzed the data and realized we could expand the ranges and add weightings in a manner that will improve the upside potential without increasing the downside risk. We have 7 YEARS of NBA playoff underdog money line data, sorted by ROUND, conference, home & away. There are CLEAR patterns and ranges that have amazing records, consistently each season. So those ranges have received the higher ratings. As you can see above each season finished with double digit profits, even the worst performing season percentage-wise. We are very excited about the modifications made to this system.

So with this system, the average profit across the seven seasons is +25.28 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline 1 unit play that would be an average profit of $2,528, and a total profit of $17,699 over the past 7 seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $12,642 and a total profit of $88,493.

PLAY BREAKDOWN:

Similar to the NHL Playoff system we've made sure this system averages roughly a unit per day. We also have the appropriate number of higher unit plays vs. lower, to minimize downside risk. Here is a breakdown of the # of plays by unit level for each year:

MORE NOTES:

• Although this is a WEIGHTED FLAT, we will NOT BE ON EVERY DOG. The plays for this system fall within specific ranges 
  (the highest performing ranges over the past 7 seasons). As a result we will not be on SOME road dogs of +249 or lower, because they did not perform well enough to justify a play at any unit level. However we will be on all home dogs of +120 or higher.

• We will be using the lines from BookMaker.com to determine the games that fall into the system.

• We will pull the lines at approximately 11:35 AM Eastern for day games and 5:35 PM Eastern for the night update.

• 87% of the lines in our database are from CRIS/Bookmaker (same lines). The 2003 lines (13%) are from BOS (very similar). 
  So for the most part the lines used for this system are apples-to-apples. 

• Should you have any additional questions about this system, feel free to contact us. 

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