NFL October system:

TYPE: TRACK-RECORD: 2009-10 results: MODIFIED from last year?
WEIGHTED FLAT 7-YEAR +20.41 units NO
UNIT SCALE: PAST RESULTS (this system): 2009-10 PAGE: 2009-10 SUMMARY:
FULL (0.20 to 5.00 units) +149.96 units Click HERE Click HERE (coming soon)

TYPE:

This particular football betting system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system. To explain further, we have two different types of flat systems: PURE Flat and WEIGHTED Flat. Pure Flat systems are 1 UNIT on EVERY PLAY. Weighted Flat systems vary from 0.2 to 5 units based on the historical data of the group (our data is sorted by Money Line Range, Home/Away, Conference, Day, etc.). The advantage of Weighted Flat systems is we don't miss out on many dog wins, because we are on most - if not all of them - it's just a matter of to what extent. Pure Flat systems generally feature less plays, because we ONLY play the profitable ranges. The disadvantage of weighted flat systems is because the higher unit plays are based on HISTORICAL data - if there's an off year or bad luck year - there can be a greater likelihood of losses if the high unit groups don't perform well. For more on the different types of systems, click HERE.

UNITS:

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other services/systems release plays and to make it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above our October NFL system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, so your wager amounts will vary depending on the unit rating of the play. Here are some sample dollar amounts relative to the units:

Units     ($) options

0.20     $20       $100     $200     (1/5 your standard wager)

0.50     $50       $250     $500     (1/2 standard)

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> your standard wager

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000   2x standard

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000   3x standard  

5.00     $500     $2500   $5000   5x standard

UPDATE TIMES:

OCTOBER updates will be sent as follows: 

  • Monday through Friday: at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for MLB playoff day games) and 6 PM (for night games; all sports)

  • Friday: by 9 PM ET (for Saturday through Sunday football)

  • Saturday: at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for MLB playoff day games) and 6 PM (for MLB playoff night games)

  • Sunday: at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for all MLB playoff games)

PROFIT NUMBERS:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past 7 seasons:

PROFITS W-L (%) # of PLAYS TOTAL units PLAYS PER DAY (AVG.) UNITS 
PER DAY (AVG.)
SUN's
2003 +  9.95 12-23 (34%) 35 41.70 1.1 1.3 4
2004 + 34.89 21-29 (42%) 50 56.00 1.6 1.8 5
2005 + 14.85 11-28 (28%) 39 41.00 1.3 1.3 5
2006 + 38.91 20-35 (36%) 55 50.40 1.8 1.6 5
2007 + 17.75 13-33 (28%) 46 33.00 1.5 1.1 4
2008 + 13.20 14-27 (34%) 41 37.90 1.3 1.2 4
2009 + 20.41 15-31 (33%) 46 39.00 1.5 1.3 4
TOTAL +149.96 106-206 (34%) 312 299.10
AVG + 21.42   15-29 (34%) 45 42.73 1.4 1.4

This system performed extremely well last year, as the percentage, number of plays, units, and profits were all right in line with the average. In other words, it was a normal month for the NFL underdogs. Considering this system now has a 7-year track record of profits and only one season in single-digits, we feel this system has tremendous upside potential and low downside risk.

The average profit across the 7 seasons is +21.42 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline 1 unit play that would be an average profit of $2,142, and a total profit of $14,996 over the past 7 seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $10,711 and a total profit of $74,978.

As far as volume, as you can see it averaged 1.4 plays per day and 1.4 units per day. Keep in mind that is across 31 days of October. Obviously, most of the plays are on Sundays. Most Sundays will be in the range of 8-12 units. Overall average units per week for the system was 10.1, ranging from 7.8 in 2005 to 11.5 in 2007 & 2009. Most seasons were 8-10 units per week on average. This season there will be 5 SUNDAYS in October, so we anticipate 40-55 total units and plays. 

PLAY BREAKDOWN:

Here is a breakdown of the # of plays by unit level for each year:

  0.20 0.50 1.00 2.00 3.00 5.00 Total plays Total units
2003 6 9 12 4 2 2 35 41.70
2004 10 16 15 2 2 5 50 56.00
2005 13 7 9 6 3 1 39 41.10
2006 17 16 13 5 2 2 55 50.40
2007 15 18 7 4 2 0 46 33.00
2008 12 11 10 4 4 0 41 37.90
2009 20 10 10 2 2 2 46 39.00
TOTAL 93 (30%) 87 (28%) 77 (25%) 27 (9%) 17 
(5%)
11
(4%)
312 299.10
AVG. 13 12 11 4 2 2 45 42.73

AVG UNITS per PLAY:

0.96

MORE NOTES:

  • For this system, we will NOT BE ON EVERY DOG. Some of the ranges did not perform well enough from 2003-2009 to justify a play at any unit level. 

  • We will be using the lines from BookMaker.com to determine the games that fall into the system.

  • We will pull the lines at approximately 5:35 PM Eastern on Mondays (for MNF) and Fridays (for the Sunday games).

  • For this system, over 80% of the lines in our database are from CRIS/BM (same). The rest are from The Greek, BOS, or Olympic (very similar to CRIS/BM). So for the most part, this system is 'apples-to-apples'.

  • Should you have any additional questions about this system, feel free to contact us

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