NHL Playoffs system:

TYPE: TRACK-RECORD: 2009-10 results: MODIFIED from last year?
WEIGHTED FLAT 6-YEAR - 5.90 units YES
UNIT SCALE: PAST RESULTS (this system): 2009-10 PAGE: 2009-10 SUMMARY:
FULL (0.20 to 5.00 units) +132.60 units Click HERE Click HERE (coming soon)

TYPE:

Our NHL playoffs betting system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, which means the wager amounts will vary based on the historical performance of the group. For more on the different types of systems, click HERE (will open in a separate window). 

As with most of our systems, we will be on money line underdogs only. Units will vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units based on the historical data of the group. Groups are broken out by Money Line Range, Home/Away, Conference, etc. This particular system is based on 
6 YEARS of data. After an analysis of the 2009 data, we have modified this system slightly from last year.

UNITS:

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other handicapping services and sports betting systems release plays. It also makes it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above the NHL Playoffs system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, so your wager amounts will vary depending on the unit rating of the play. Here are some sample dollar amounts relative to the units:

Units     ($) options

0.20     $20       $100     $200     (1/5 your standard wager)

0.50     $50       $250     $500     (1/2 standard)

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> your standard wager

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000   2x standard

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000   3x standard  

5.00     $500     $2500   $5000   5x standard

UPDATE TIMES:

APRIL-JUNE updates will be sent as follows: 

  • Monday through Saturday, by 6 PM ET (for night games)

  • Monday through Saturday, at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for day games) 

  • Sundays at approximately 11:45 AM ET (for all games)

PROFIT NUMBERS:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past 6 seasons:

PROFITS W-L (%) # of PLAYS TOTAL UNITS *TOTAL DAYS UNITS PER DAY (AVG.)
2003 + 36.93 26-34 (43%) 60 62.60 62 1.0
2004 + 17.33 19-21 (48%) 40 56.80 62 0.9
2005 NOTE: There were no NHL playoffs in 2005 due to the league's cancellation of the season
2006 + 50.05 25-25 (50%) 50 61.20 60 1.0
2007 +  9.02 10-27 (27%) 37 32.30 57 0.6
2008 +  6.60 16-28 (36%) 44 51.40 55 0.9
2009 +  8.44 13-34 (28%) 47 41.00 59 0.7
TOTAL +128.36 109-169 (39%) 278 305.30 355
AVG + 21.39   46 50.88 59 0.9

* Total days = Calendar days for the duration of the playoffs, including days with no games.

So as you can see, with some slight modifications to last seasons system we now have a system that showed profits in each of the last six seasons. Granted, the last three seasons have been in the single digits. However we'll take single digit profits for the NHL playoffs. They are wild and unpredictable but that goes in both directions. There have been years - especially in the Eastern Conference - where favorites have dominated. The Western Conference has been pretty solid. However after an analysis of the last two years of data we modified the weightings slightly. We now have a system with very low downside risk and high upside potential, as you can see by the results. There's a chance for a HUGE season if the dogs do particularly well. And if they don't, we've isolated enough dependable ranges to enable us to finish with a profit. And more importantly, we're going to be on MORE games this season 
(although not all). This will alleviate the 'dogs exploding around us', in the case of an off-data year (which happened last year and was extremely frustrating. Regardless we are hoping the cycle of dogs goes back to 2003-05 levels and that with the Olympic interruption it could be another wild and crazy playoffs. We are excited about the potential of this system.


So with this system, the average profit across the seven seasons is +21.39 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline 1 unit play that would be an average profit of $2,139, and a total profit of $12,836 over the past six seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $10,696 and a total profit of $64,178
.

PLAY BREAKDOWN:

Here is a breakdown of the # of plays by unit level for each year:

0.20 units 0.50 1.00 2.00 3.00 5.00 Total plays Total units
2003 13 22 17 2 1 5 60 62.60
2004 4 6 19 3 6 2 40 56.80
2006 11 10 13 9 6 1 50 61.20
2007 9 17 4 3 4 0 37 32.30
2008 7 12 14 5 5 1 44 51.40
2009 10 18 12 5 1 1 47 41.00
TOTAL 54 85 79 27 23 10 278 305.30
AVG. 9 14 13 5 4 2 46 50.88
AVG UNITS per PLAY: 1.1

MORE NOTES:

  • Although this is a WEIGHTED FLAT, we will NOT BE ON EVERY DOG. The plays for this system fall within specific ranges (the highest performing ranges over the past 6 seasons). As a result we will not be on SOME road dogs of +145 or lower, because they did not perform well enough to justify a play at any unit level. However we will be on all home dogs and all Stanley Cup dogs of +120 or higher.

  • We will be using the lines from BookMaker.com to determine the games that fall into the system.

  • We will pull the lines at approximately 11:35 AM Eastern for day games and 5:35 PM Eastern for the night update.

  • 67% of the lines in our database are from CRIS/Bookmaker (same lines). The 2003 lines (19%) are from BoDog (similar) and many of the 2006 lines are from Pinnacle (14%; slightly higher). However with the Pinnacle lines we ensured that the plays would've been in the system with the CRIS lines. 

  • Should you have any additional questions about this system, feel free to contact us

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