MLB April system:

1)     TYPE:

The MLB April system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system. To explain further, we have two different types of flat systems: PURE Flat and WEIGHTED Flat. Pure Flat systems are 1.00 units on EVERY PLAY. Weighted Flat systems vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units based on the historical data of the group (by Money Line Range, Home/Away). We also have PROGRESSIVE systems that vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units as well. However the difference between Weighted Flat and PROGRESSIVE systems is that PRECEDING results (prior week, prior day, etc) have no impact on the upcoming plays. So there is no build factor or due factor, as there is with Progressive systems. That is why it is still a flat. The advantage of the Weighted Flat system is that we don't miss out on many dog wins, because we are on most - if not all of them - it's just a matter of to what extent. This disadvantage of weighted flat systems is since the higher unit plays are based on (in this case) 8-year historical data - if there is an off year or bad luck year - there can be more downside risk if the high unit groups don't perform well. More info on the different types of systems will be posted in the FAQ's section in the near future.

2)     UNITS:  

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other services/systems release plays and to make it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above the MLB April system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, so your wager amounts will vary depending on the unit rating of the play. However we will not be using all of the unit levels for this particular system. For this system, we will only be utilizing 1.00, 2.00 or 3.00 units.

Here are some sample dollar amounts relative to the units:

Units     ($) options

*0.20     $20       $100     $200     (1/5 your standard wager)    *WILL NOT BE USED FOR THIS SYSTEM

*0.50     $50       $250     $500     (1/2 standard)     *WILL NOT BE USED FOR THIS SYSTEM

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> your standard wager

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000   2x standard

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000   3x standard  

*5.00     $500     $2500   $5000   5x standard     *WILL NOT BE USED FOR THIS SYSTEM

3)     UPDATE TIMES:

There will be ONE or TWO updates per day for the MLB systems (except Sunday) depending on whether or not there are day games:

• Monday - Saturday: 1st update (if day games): Approximately *12 PM ET (includes games that start prior to 7 PM ET)

• Monday - Saturday: 2nd update (for night games): Approximately 6 PM ET (includes games that start at 7 PM ET or later)

• Sunday: ONE update at approximately 12 PM ET* (includes all games)

• *NOTE: In the rare instance in which there is a game that starts prior to 12:35 PM ET the update will be sent earlier, at least 30 minutes prior to the start of the 1st game.

• All updates will be sent via EMAIL.

4)     PROFIT NUMBERS/ UNIT BREAKDOWN:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past eight seasons:

* In some of the years the season did not begin on April 1st, which is why not every season featured 30 days. Due to the later opening day (4/5), THIS season will feature the shortest month so far for this system (26 days). However that does not necessarily mean there will be less plays, or less profits. It all depends on the schedule, how the teams match-up and the money lines.

As you can see each season finished with a profit, and 2005 & 2008 were the only seasons in single digits. The average profit across all eight seasons was +16.86 units. So if you use $100 as your baseline (1.00 unit) play that would be an average profit of $1,686, and a total profit of $13,488 over the past eight seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $8,430 and a total profit of $67,440.

As you can see this system is coming off it's worst performing season yet, at just 40%, so the dogs in those ranges could be due for a 'correction' April. With this system, there are much more 1.00 unit plays (see breakdown below) than 2.00 or 3.00 unit plays, so this system has very little downside risk and tremendous upside potential.

Here is a breakdown of the # of plays by unit level for each year:

5)     BANKROLL:

For this particular system, a bankroll of 20.0 units would have been sufficient in each of the past eight seasons. That balance never would've gone negative and always would've had enough to cover the next day's games, even in the worst performing season (2008), as well as the seasons that got off to the worst starts (2001 started 2-10; 2003 started 2-12; 2006 started 0-7). Although you should allocate 20 units to be on the safe side, we would suggested starting with 10 and seeing how it goes, because many of the seasons started with a normal or above average distribution of wins and losses.

6)     MORE NOTES:

• The system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, however we will NOT BE ON EVERY DOG. The plays for this system fall within specific ranges (the highest performing ranges over the past 8 seasons). Those ranges have not changed since we started the April system (in the past this was a pure flat system). This season we have added the weightings to increase the likelihood of profits without substantial downside risk. So this is a bit of a hybrid between a pure flat system and a weighted system that is on every dog.

• We will be using the lines from BoDog (http://sports.bodoglife.com/sports-betting/mlb-baseball.jsp) to determine the games that fall into the system.

• We will pull the lines at approximately 11:35 AM Eastern for the day update and 5:35 PM Eastern for the night update.

• MOST of the lines in our database (over 62%) from 2001-2008 are from BODOG. The 2001-2002 lines are from Wagerline.com. The 2003-2004 lines are from either CRIS or BODOG (similar). ALL of the 2005-2008 lines are from BODOG. All lines were pulled at approximately the times above. 

• Should you have any additional questions about this system, feel free to contact us. 

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