NHL Playoffs system:

1)     TYPE:

The NHL Playoffs system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system. To explain further, we have two different types of flat systems: PURE Flat and WEIGHTED Flat. Pure Flat systems are 1.00 units on EVERY PLAY. Weighted Flat systems vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units based on the historical data of the group (by Money Line Range, Home/Away, and for this system Conference). We also have PROGRESSIVE systems that vary from 0.20 to 5.00 units as well. However the difference between Weighted Flat and PROGRESSIVE systems is that PRECEDING results (prior week, prior day, etc) have no impact on the upcoming plays. So there is no build factor or due factor, as there is with Progressive systems. That is why it is still a flat. The advantage of the Weighted Flat system is that we don't miss out on many dog wins, because we are on most - if not all of them - it's just a matter of to what extent. This disadvantage of weighted flat systems is since the higher unit plays are based on (in this case) 5-year historical data - if there is an off year or bad luck year - there can be more downside risk if the high unit groups don't perform well. More info on the different types of systems will be posted in the FAQ's section in the near future.

2)     UNITS:  

Our unit scale utilizes a base amount of 1 UNIT. This is to keep things uniform with the way most other services/systems release plays and to make it easy for everyone to multiply and understand.

As stated above the NHL Playoffs system is a WEIGHTED FLAT system, so your wager amounts will vary depending on the unit rating of the play. However we will not be using all of the unit levels for this particular system. For this system, we will only be utilizing 1.00, 2.00 or 3.00 units.

Here are some sample dollar amounts relative to the units:

Units     ($) options

*0.20     $20       $100     $200     (1/5 your standard wager)    *WILL NOT BE USED FOR THIS SYSTEM

*0.50     $50       $250     $500     (1/2 standard)     *WILL NOT BE USED FOR THIS SYSTEM

1.00     $100     $500     $1000 >> your standard wager

2.00     $200     $1000   $2000   2x standard

3.00     $300     $1500   $3000   3x standard  

*5.00     $500     $2500   $5000   5x standard     *WILL NOT BE USED FOR THIS SYSTEM

3)     UPDATE TIMES:

On most days there will be ONE update for this system. On Saturdays, there may be two updates, if there are day games. Here is the update schedule:

  • Monday - Friday: Approximately 6 PM ET (for games that start at 7 PM ET or later)

  • Saturday (if day games): Approximately 12 PM ET (for games that start prior to 7 PM ET)

  • Saturday: 2nd update (or only update if no day games): Approximately 6 PM ET (for games that start at 7 PM ET or later)

  • Sunday: ONE update at approximately 12 PM ET* (includes all games)

  • In the event that there is a day game that starts before 12:30 PM Eastern we will send the AM update out earlier, at least 30 minutes prior to the start of the first game.

  • All updates will be sent via EMAIL.

4)     PROFIT NUMBERS/ UNIT BREAKDOWN:

Here are the profit numbers for this system over the past six seasons:

PROFITS W-L (%) # of PLAYS TOTAL units *# of DAYS PLAYS PER DAY (AVG.) UNITS PER DAY (AVG.)
2003 + 65.55 21-11 (66%) 32 66 19 1.7 3.5
2004 + 17.95 16-13 (55%) 29 51 22 1.3 2.0
2005 NOTE: There were no NHL playoffs in 2005 due to the cancelled season
2006 + 34.65 19-10 (66%) 29 48 22 1.3 2.2
2007 +  6.75   6-7  (46%) 13 22 11 1.2 2.0
2008 +  6.50 12-13 (48%) 25 37 20 1.3 1.9
TOTAL +131.40 74-54 (58%) 128 224
AVG + 26.28   26 45 19 1.3 2.3

* NOTE: For this system the # of days = the # of days WITH PLAYS, not the overall total number of days. Obviously the Stanley Cup playoffs stretch over two months, however there are not plays every day. The averages listed above are to give you a sense of how many plays & units there will be on days with plays. Obviously if you stretch the plays and units over the full 60 days, the overall average PER DAY will be much less. .

As you can see each season finished with a profit, and the last two seasons (2007 & 2008) were relatively 'off' seasons. 2003 of course seems to be an anomaly on the other end. The average profit across all five seasons was +26.28 units, which considering the more 'normal' years of 2004 & 2005 still seems to be an appropriate average. So if you use $100 as your baseline (1.00 unit) play that would be an average profit of $2,628, and a total profit of $13,140 over the past five seasons. If you use $500 as your baseline, that would be an average profit of $13,140 and a total profit of $65,700.

As you can see this system is coming off it's worst performing season yet as far as units, and the second worst as far as %. 2007 seems to be tremendously anomalistic as far as total plays, probably just due to an unusual number of tight (evenly matched) series' with a lot of low money lines. In any case, the system seems due for a year with more plays and a higher percentage. Even if this doesn't happen, this system has tremendous upside potential and very low downside risk. Similar to the April baseball system the unit amounts are dispersed with more lower and less higher.

Here is a breakdown of the # of plays by unit level for each year:

1.00 2.00 3.00 Total plays Total units
2003 9 12 11 32 66.00
2004 15 6 8 29 51.00
2006 16 7 6 29 48.00
2007 5 7 1 13 22.00
2008 16 6 3 25 37.00
TOTAL 61 (51%) 38 (31%) 29 (18%) 128 224.00
AVG. 12 8 6 26 44.80
AVG UNITS per PLAY: 1.75

5)     BANKROLL:

For this particular system, a bankroll of 10.0 units would have been sufficient in each of the past five seasons. That balance never would've gone negative and always would've had enough to cover the next day's games, even in the worst performing season (2008), as well as the season that got off to the worst starts (2004 started 4-7 - that was by far the worst start). In this case you should allocate 10 units and deposit that amount as well, in case there is a bad start. Although all seasons but 2004 started with an even dispersion. 

6)     MORE NOTES:

  • Similar to the April MLB this system is a WEIGHTED FLAT, however we will NOT BE ON EVERY DOG. The plays for this system fall within specific ranges (the highest performing ranges over the past 5 seasons). Those ranges have not changed since we started the NHL playoffs flat system. This season we have added the weightings to increase the likelihood of profits without substantial downside risk. So again this is a bit of a hybrid between a pure flat system and a weighted system that is on every dog.

  • We will be using the lines from BookMaker.com to determine the games that fall into the system.

  • We will pull the lines at approximately 11:35 AM Eastern for day games and 5:35 PM Eastern for the night update.

  • MOST of the lines in our database are from CRIS/Bookmaker (same lines). The 2003 lines are from BoDog (similar) and many of the 2006 lines are from Pinnacle (slightly higher). However with the Pinnacle lines we ensured that the plays would've been in the system with the CRIS lines. 

  • Should you have any additional questions about this system, feel free to contact us

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